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  • Bank of England’s Taylor: High rates could push UK into recession

    October 14, 2025

    The UK risks heading into a recession that will be “difficult to contain” if interest rates are kept on hold into next year, a Bank of England rate-setter has said in a speech that has further exposed widening splits between policymakers over the best path for borrowing costs. In a set of dovish comments made [...]

  • Bank of England’s Mann calls for sustained interest rate hold

    October 1, 2025

    The Bank of England’s Catherine Mann has called for interest rates to be held where they are for longer before making a larger cut to revive the sluggish growth outlook, citing a recent spike in consumer inflation expectations as evidence price rises were embedding into the economy. The external Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) member known [...]

  • CityAM Shadow MPC votes 8-1 to HOLD interest rates

    September 16, 2025

    Leading economists from academia and the City have voted 8-1 for interest rates to be held at four per cent in CityAM’s Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) ahead of the Bank of England’s own decision this week.  Top analysts, who expressed views independently of their organisations, have said that stubborn inflation above the Bank [...]

  • Bank of England predicted to not cut interest rate until 2026

    September 12, 2025

    Interest rate cuts are unlikely to take place this year, according to some of the most dovish forecasters, with City analysts split on where they will settle given the UK’s battle against high inflation and low growth.  The Bank of England is set to hold its next monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting next week, a [...]

  • Bank of England’s Mann: ‘Squeeze out’ inflation with rate holds

    August 26, 2025

    Inflation is likely to become “persistently elevated” unless it is squeezed out with a more restrictive monetary policy than the Bank of England is currently predicting, a top Bank of England official has warned. In a hawkish speech delivered on Tuesday, Monetary Policy Committee member Catherine Mann said the spectre of further price rises looked [...]

  • Once bitten, twice inflated: The Bank of England’s rate cut conundrum

    August 14, 2025

    After the MPC’s historic second vote on interest rates, is the Bank of England torn between fears of recession and inflation, asks Helen Thomas Seventeen years ago this month, the Bank of England produced its quarterly Inflation Reportas usual. In the 56 pages, the Bank’s forecasters laid out carefully crafted charts andanalysis of how growth [...]

  • Cut interest rates to four per cent, CityAM Shadow MPC says

    August 5, 2025

    Top economists have voted 8-1 for interest rates to be slashed by 25 basis points in CityAM’s new Shadow Monetary Policy Committee (MPC). Amid high inflation and falling job numbers, the Bank of England is set to face a difficult finely balanced decision on Thursday on whether to cut interest rates from the current [...]

  • Bank of England to cut interest rates but faces dilemma on outlook

    August 4, 2025

    The Bank of England is unlikely to signal faster interest rate cuts at this Thursday’s meeting, leading economists have said, leaving the future of monetary policy in the balance.  Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members are widely expected to agree to cut interest rates by 25 basis points to four per cent.  But City analysts have [...]

  • Bank of England urged to hold interest rates despite jobs drop

    July 17, 2025

    A leading City forecaster has advised Bank of England policymakers to vote to hold interest rates at its next meeting in August to help battle rising inflation. Robert Wood, UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, warned the Bank of England not to read too much into the drop in jobs numbers, with initial estimates by the [...]

  • High inflation ‘not sufficient’ to scupper Bank of England interest rate cuts

    July 14, 2025

    June inflation data showing a 3.4 per cent year-on-year rise in prices would not put Bank of England officials off voting for an interest rate cut in August, leading economists have said.  A Bloomberg poll of City analysts has predicted that inflation will remain above the Bank’s two per cent target as price growth is [...]

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