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Canadian business, markets & economy · Sunday, 6 September 2026

Business

Thinking Machines targets $1 bn raise at $40 bn valuation, implying >400× revenue multiple

TechCrunch reports that AI lab Thinking Machines is negotiating a $1 bn raise at a valuation of at least $40 bn, a price that translates to a revenue multiple of over 400× based on its disclosed >$100 m annual run‑rate.

Thinking Machines is in discussions to raise $1 bn at a valuation of at least $40 bn, a price that works out to a revenue multiple of more than 400× its disclosed annual run‑rate of over $100 m, TechCrunch reported on 3 September 2026.

Deal terms and valuation

The proposed financing round, if completed, would bring in $1 bn of new capital. The round is being led by Accel, an existing backer, according to the TechCrunch story that cites The Information. The valuation ceiling of $40 bn is described as a "minimum" figure – the source says the company is seeking at least that amount. The same source notes that the $40 bn figure is below the $50 bn valuation that Thinking Machines reportedly pursued in late 2025.

Revenue run‑rate and implied multiple

TechCrunch also disclosed that Thinking Machines’ annual revenue run‑rate stands at over $100 million. Because the valuation is expressed in billions of U.S. dollars and the revenue figure in millions of U.S. dollars, the simple division yields a multiple of 400× (40 bn ÷ 100 m = 400). Since the revenue figure is quoted as "over $100 m", the resulting multiple is "greater than 400×".

Key financial figures disclosed for Thinking Machines (2026)

Metric

Value

Unit

Period

Source

Valuation (minimum)

40

billion USD

2026 (proposed round)

TechCrunch

Funding round size

1

billion USD

2026 (discussion)

TechCrunch

Revenue run‑rate

100

million USD

2026 (latest disclosed)

TechCrunch

Revenue multiple

>400

times

2026 (based on disclosed figures)

TechCrunch

The table makes clear the relationship between the three core numbers that underpin the headline claim.

Founder, backers and market positioning

The AI lab was founded early in 2025 by Mira Murati, who previously served as chief technology officer at OpenAI. The TechCrunch excerpt explicitly identifies Murati as the founder and notes that Accel is already a backer and is in talks to lead the new $1 bn round. No other investors are named in the source.

Timeline and market context

The key event in the timeline is the TechCrunch report dated 3 September 2026, which states that the $1 bn raise and $40 bn valuation are under discussion. The report also references an earlier, higher valuation target of $50 bn that the company allegedly pursued in late 2025. The shift from a $50 bn target to a $40 bn minimum suggests a recalibration of expectations, though the source does not explain the rationale.

What remains unknown

The packet does not provide details on Thinking Machines’ headquarters, employee headcount, industry classification, or any audited financial statements beyond the disclosed revenue run‑rate. The exact amount of capital that would be raised, the final valuation ceiling, and the terms of the financing (such as equity percentage or preferred‑stock features) have not been confirmed. Likewise, the impact of the proposed valuation on the broader AI‑startup funding environment is not addressed in the source material.

Investors and market observers will be watching how the $40 bn valuation, the $1 bn raise, and the implied >400× revenue multiple play out as the round moves toward closure. The figures provide a concrete benchmark for comparing future AI‑lab financing rounds that may emerge later in 2026.

About the author

Raj Patel

Reporting for CityAM Canada on business and the wider Canadian economy.

All work by Raj Patel ›