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Tuesday 30 April 2019 9:55 am  |  Updated:  Monday 03 June 2019 12:14 am

Premier Inn owner Whitbread warns ‘acute’ political uncertainty will hurt growth after Costa coffee sale

By: Joe Curtis

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Whitbread today revealed profits have plummeted 40 per cent since the £3.9bn sale of its Costa coffee chain to Coca-Cola last year.

Read more: Caffeine kick: Whitbread announces £2bn share buyback

The figures

Profit before tax at the Premier Inn owner slumped 39.1 per cent year on year to just £260m in its 2019 financial year, down from £436m last year, as it misses the income from its high street chain.

Underlying operating profit rose 0.6 per cent year on year to £466m while revenue grew 2.1 per cent to £2.05bn compared to the 2018 financial year.

Whitbread boosted net cash to £2.6bn following the proceeds of selling Costa.

Basic earnings per share rocketed 751 per cent thanks to the sale, with investors pocketing 2,040p per share compared to 239.7p last year.

Meanwhile Whitbread’s full-year dividend slipped 1.5 per cent to 99.65p per share.

Why it’s interesting

Having completed the sale of Costa in January, analysts today said Whitbread is in need of a caffeine kick as it warned of weakening demand on the horizon.

Investors were told to look forward to a June share buyback of up to £2.5bn, but today Whitbread warned that its Premier Inn hotel chain is under pressure amid increased competition and Brexit caution.

Room growth is expected to be weak in the current financial year after UK like-for-like accommodation sales fell 0.6 per cent due to soft demand, with overall accommodation sales up 3..5 per cent.

Read more: Premier Inn expands as owner Whitbread looks to life after Costa

Whitbread also blamed falling business and leisure confidence in its fourth quarter amid further delays to the Brexit process, warning that this has extended into April amid “an acute period of political and economic uncertainty”.

The firm warned in January that it will not grow profit in 2019-20 due to these factors.

Laith Khalaf, senior analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, warned Premier Inn is facing “an uphill battle” for growth.

But despite Whitbread’s loss-making German operations, he added that the firm is in a strong financial position thanks to its Costa disposal.

“Like the UK, the German economy isn’t firing on all cylinders right now, but cyclical swings are outside the control of Whitbread, and are simply part and parcel of the hotel business,” Khalaf said.

“If big beasts like Premier Inn are feeling the pinch, things must be pretty painful for smaller operators, so longer term that may create even greater market share for Whitbread as independent competitors raise prices, drop standards, or shut up shop.”

Shares fell 3.09 per cent to 4,607p in early morning trading.

What Whitbread said

Read more: Costa sold to Coca-Cola: Here's how the City reacted

Chief executive Alison Brittain said: “We have repositioned Whitbread as a focused hotel business by delivering our three strategic priorities to grow and innovate in the UK; focus on our strengths to grow internationally; and to enhance the capabilities required to support long-term growth.

“Despite the short-term market challenges, our strong competitive position, ongoing disciplined allocation of capital and focus on executing our strategic plan will ensure we continue to win market share from the declining independent hotel sector in the UK and Germany. This will deliver sustainable growth in earnings and dividends, combined with our strong return on capital over the long-term.”

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